I am sometimes cursed having been born under the sign of Libra. Always trying to maintain a sense of balance. My last post was written from the heart-this post is from the head. I was never good at math in school, but managed to meet the minimum requirements for a liberal arts education. Finance on the other hand was not so much about numbers, but about process, flow, and relationships. Our current national financial crisis is the direct result of the misunderstanding of debt and equity by investors, regulators and legislators. The world of derivitives blurs the characteristics of equity and debt. As a debt investor, the best I can obtain is the return of my principal and a few dollars in interest. As an owner of an asset, my investment return is from production of income and hopefully, appreciation over time. This is like buying stock in a company that pays dividends, and you hope the value is higher when you want to sell.
How does residential real estate relate to this. We buy our homes as a place to live. The pleasure we receive, and the memories we make, are like interest and dividends. They bring joy while we are here, and are a significant part of the return on our investment. When it is time to sell, we may or may not make a profit, depending on our timing. Historically, residential real estate has been a good investment over time. The market has always been cyclical. Here in Oregon, the cycles from the 1970's forward have been far apart, and values have not been as volotile as in much of California, Florida, and Texas. Florence real estate had plugged along for over a decade, until 2003-04. A shortage of buildable land created by government interference in the market, along with a spike in demand following the city being named the most desireable retirement spot in America, caused values to sykrocket in 2005-06. After the bubble burst, there was no soft landing here. Values fell over 30% and demand slowed significantly. Buyers cautiously waited for the bottom, and this, in my opinion, is where we are now. Everything that was good about Florence in the 1990's and first half of the current decade is even better today. Sellers who need to move on are finally realizing this is a soft market, and discounts are becomming the norm. The door is wide open for buyers to come to Florence and enjoy our coastal paradise.